European Woes Hammer Wall Street, Volatility Spikes
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Stocks sold off on Tuesday after the reemerging threat of a Greek default and the specter of another recession for the already beleaguered eurozone sent traders darting out of risky assets.
Today's Markets
As of 3:11 p.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 214 points, or 1.7%, to 12749, the S&P 500 dipped 22.6 points, or 1.7%, to 1342 and Nasdaq Composite slumped 43.6 points, or 1.5%, to 2907.
All but three Dow components was in the red, led by Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), the world's biggest maker of heavy machinery maker, which fell 4%, costing the blue-chip index more than 30 points on its own. Other big losers on a percent basis were aluminum-maker Alcoa (NYSE:AA) and Bank of America (NYSE:BAC).
Volatility shot up by close to 17.1% as tracked by the CBOE's VIX, while traders bid up safe-haven U.S. Treasury bonds. The benchmark 10-year yield dropped 0.056-percentage points to 1.948%.
Looking at the broader markets, materials shares were taking the biggest beating, along with energy, industrial and financial companies, echoing the narrower Dow. Safety plays, like consumer staples, managed to stave off the worst of the losses.
Another Eurozone Recession Looming?
The eurozone's economy shrunk by 0.3% in the final quarter of 2011, Eurostat confirmed on Tuesday, compared with a 0.1% gain in the previous quarter. The currency bloc's economic output expanded at a pace of 1.4% for all of 2011, slower than a previous estimate of 1.5%.
Household spending and investment both took big hits as consumers and companies struggled against strong headwinds from the debt crisis. Economists are expecting another contraction in the first quarter of 2012, meaning the eurozone would officially be back in recession territory for the second time in three years.
"Despite some recent overall improvement in [eurozone] surveys and evidence that Germany is returning to growth, we doubt that the [eurozone] will be able to avoid further contraction in the first quarter of 2012 and very possibly the second," IHS Global Insight Chief European and UK Economist Howard Archer wrote in an e-mail.
All together, the European Union countries make one of the world's biggest economies, meaning a drastic pullback there could lead to weakness abroad. Analysts also worry about the growing divergence between expansion in the core countries, like Germany, and the embattled periphery.
On Monday, China, the world's second biggest economic player, pared back its growth target for 2012 by 0.5-percentage points, in the first cut in eight years.
Many European bourses were more than 3.5% to the downside, with the Europe Dow tumbling close to 2% in afternoon trading there. The euro slid 0.62% to $1.3135, while the U.S. dollar rose 0.45% against a basket of six world currencies tracked by the dollar index.
Analysts also pointed to uncertainty over whether Greece will be able to finish its bond exchange in which private creditors are taking losses of more than half on the face value of their debt as another reason for the negative sentiment.
"It appears the Greece debt swap will go down to the wire," analysts at Barclays Capital wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday.
If the country can't convince bondholders to take the deal, or its rescue with European lenders falls through, it could lead to a chaotic default that could further rattle the financial markets. Greece's next bond payment is due on March 20.
Spanish and Italian borrowing costs crept higher as traders grew more wary about the sovereign debt crisis once again. Indeed, both countries' 10-year bonds pushed above the 5% level on the day, according to data compiled by Reuters.
Commodity markets, which have been particularly jittery in recent weeks, were in the red on economic concerns and a stronger U.S. dollar. The benchmark crude oil contract traded in New York fell $2.02, or 1.9%, to $104.70 a barrel. Wholesale RBOB gasoline dipped 0.86% to $3.23 a gallon. A gallon of regular costs $3.746 on average nationwide, up from $3.478 last month and $3.509 last year, according to the AAA Fuel Gauge Report.
Gold slumped $31.80, or 1.9%, to $1,672 a troy ounce.
There are no major U.S. economic releases on tap for Tuesday.
Corporate News
Merck (NYSE:MRK), the pharmaceutical giant, said it expects adjusted first-quarter earnings of between 95 cents and 98 cents a share, weaker than the $1.01 analysts were expecting.
Foreign Markets
European blue chips fell 2.8%, the English FTSE 100 dipped 2.8% to 5770 and the German DAX slid 2.8% to 6773.
In Asia, the Japanese Nikkei 225 slipped 0.63% to 9634 and the Chinese Hang Seng tumbled 2.2% to 20806.