Thanksgiving, Christmas flight prices will continue rising, economist warns

Tickets to fly to Europe are still down from peak prices this summer

Domestic flight prices for trips during the 2023 holiday season are on an uphill climb until the new year, according to an industry economist. 

Although prices are slightly down compared with this time last year, Haley Berg, lead economist for travel app Hopper predicted that "prices to continue to rise from now through the holidays" and that travelers should book as soon as possible.

Prices are currently lower than last year due to the pent-up surge in demand, higher jet fuel prices and lower capacity in 2022. But, she explained that Thanksgiving prices, on average, will rise and that Christmas prices, though more volatile, will have some last-minute deals.

As of Monday, domestic trips this Thanksgiving are averaging around $248 for a round-trip ticket. That's about 11% down from a year ago, according to the most recent data from Hopper. 

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Prices to head to Europe are already surpassing $600. Currently, the average cost for round-trip tickets to Europe is $603, up 1% from last year, according to the most recent data. 

Frontier Airlines Check In

People check in at the desk for Frontier Airlines in Terminal E at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport where Frontier Airlines has gates  (Stewart F. House/Getty Images / Getty Images)

For Christmas, domestic fight prices are averaging around $346 per round trip, down 10% from a year ago. 

Meanwhile, round-trip tickets to Europe over the Christmas holiday are averaging $947. That's down 5% from a year ago, according to Hopper data.  

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Last month, Berg forewarned travelers to book trips for the holiday season no later than Oct. 14 in order to nab a relatively affordable flight. Berg's deadline came on the heels of a Hopper survey that disclosed how nearly half of users who plan to travel this holiday are concerned that they won't be able to afford their pre-planned trips.

Consumers are still facing financial pressures, including inflation, while their pandemic-era savings continue to diminish.

travelers at airport

Travelers wait in line at the United Airlines bag drop at O'Hare International Airport ahead of the Labor Day holiday weekend in Chicago, Illinois, on Sept. 1, 2023. ( Taylor Glascock/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

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Still, prices to Europe are still lower than they were in June when tickets surged to nearly $1,200, the highest it has been in six years, Hopper previously reported.