Saudi Arabia's energy minister said Monday that he doesn't expect any objections to a nine-month extension to the existing output cut deal between OPEC and non-OPEC members — an agreement that would extend the deal through March 2018.
Late last year, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-OPEC members reached a deal to cut production by 1.8 million barrels a day for six months, staring from January 2017. OPEC oil ministers will meet on Thursday in Vienna to discuss the extension.
"Everyone I talked to inside OPEC agrees with the nine-month (extension)" Khalid al-Falih told a press conference in Baghdad after a meeting with the Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and his Iraqi counterpart, Jabar Ali al-Luaibi. "I do not expect any objection to that trend," al-Falih added.
He said the new deal would be similar to the current one "with some amendments" without elaborating. Al-Falih said al-Abadi gave the "green light" for Iraq to approve the nine-month extension proposal in Thursday's meeting. Early this month, Iraq, which committed to reduce daily production by 210,000 barrels to 4.351 million barrels, said it supported a six-month extension, but didn't comment on the nine-month proposal.
Iraq, where oil revenues make up nearly 95 percent of the budget, has been reeling under an economic crisis since 2014, when oil prices began plummeting from a high of over $100 a barrel. The Islamic State group's onslaught, starting in 2014, has exacerbated the situation — forcing Baghdad to divert much of its resources to a long and costly war.
Since the start of the production cut, global oil prices have stabilized at around $50 per barrel. Al-Falih said the oil market has made a partial recovery, "but not a complete one."
Iraq is also grappling with a major humanitarian crisis. The U.N. estimates that more than 3 million people have been forced from their homes since 2014. It also faces growing dissatisfaction among residents of areas recaptured from IS who have had their properties demolished and suffer from scarce public services.
Iraq holds the world's fourth-largest oil reserves. This year, it added 10 billion barrels, bringing its total reserves up to 153.1 billion barrels.