Fox News Poll: Sanders Up By 22 Points in New Hampshire

By Dana BlantonElectionFOXBusiness

Bernie Sanders commands a 22-point lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, according to the latest Fox News Poll.

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He tops Clinton by a 56-34 percent margin among likely Democratic primary voters.  That’s an improvement for Sanders from just two weeks ago when he was up by 13 points (50-37 percent).

Martin O’Malley holds steady with three percent support.

Most Sanders (78 percent) and Clinton supporters (76 percent) have a high degree of vote certainty.

Among just the subgroup of voters who say they will “definitely” vote in the Democratic primary, Sanders leads by 19 points (55-36 percent).

The poll finds Sanders retains his commanding lead among younger voters (+39 points), and also expands his advantage among a key Clinton constituency nationally:  voters over age 45.  He’s up 13-points among this group, while he was ahead by just 4 points earlier this month.

In addition, the Vermont senator has widened his lead among both men and women.  Women back him by 17 points in the new poll (55-38 percent), up from a 7-point edge in early January.  Men favor him by 29 points (was 23 points).

A third of likely Democratic voters in New Hampshire feel “betrayed” by politicians from their party (33 percent).  These folks go overwhelmingly for Sanders:  74-16 percent.

Nearly half of Clinton’s backers would be happy with Sanders as the nominee (46 percent), but only about a third of Sanders’s supporters say they would be satisfied with Clinton (35 percent).

In fact, 19 percent of those backing Sanders say they would stay home in November if Clinton is the nominee.  That's more than double the seven percent of Clinton supporters who say the same about Sanders.

New Hampshire Democrats are most likely to want a nominee who is honest and trustworthy (30 percent) and cares about people like them (25 percent).  Sanders is favored among voters who pick each of these traits.

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The phone poll was conducted January 18-21, 2016, with live interviewers (landline and cellphone).  This New Hampshire poll was among a sample of 801 registered voters selected from a statewide voter file.  Results based on the sample of 400 Democratic primary voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus five percentage points.