Why Shares iDreamSky Technology Crashed to Earth Monday

Source: iDreamSky Technology

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of iDreamSky Technology fell by a third on Monday, establishing a new 52-week low in the process after the company revised its guidance for fourth quarter and first-quarter revenues significantly lower.

So what: As the following table shows, the new guidance leaves a pretty sizable shortfall relative to Wall Street's expectations:

Source: Thomson Financial Network, iDreamSky Technology

Furthermore, it did not help matters that analysts at Stifel Nicolaus downgraded the shares to 'buy' from 'hold' in a report that included a stinging comment on the company's communications strategy:

Now whatiDreamSky Technology is a Chinese micro-cap mobile gaming development platform, so extreme volatility is part and parcel of the proposition. On the face of it, today's drop appears to put the stock into "deep value" territory if analysts' estimates were to hold up (they won't), it would now be valued at 4.3 times this year's estimated earnings per -share. The trouble is that the company has virtually no history as a public company (the shares began trading last August), or as a company, period. In that context, and given the industry it operates in, investors ought to consider that iDreamSky Technology is a speculation, not an investment.

The article Why Shares iDreamSky Technology Crashed to Earth Monday originally appeared on Fool.com.

Alex Dumortier, CFA has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.