The 30-year fixed-rate fell in December, but a small rally at the start of 2022 has seen the rates increase to their highest level since May 2020 – more than a half a percent higher than Jan. 2021 when the rate sat at 2.65%.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) and loan company Freddie Mac reported an average rate of 3.22%, while other financial advisors cited a rate of 3.35% - both figures indicating robust growth in demand and expectations for the coming year. The 15-year fixed-rate reached 2.43% compared to 2.16% a year ago.
Time NextAdvisor showed that some groups, such as Sage Mortgage, continue to offer rates of around 2.69% while Better Mortgage offered a rate of around 3.65%.
Fears over the COVID-19 delta variant around the summer of 2021 caused the rate to dip to 2.77%, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS). The rally through the end of the year would suggest that the impact was temporary, and fears of the omicron variant had little to no impact.
"Elevated inflation and the Fed’s taper acceleration will move up mortgage rates in January. I expect the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to average 3.2 percent and the 15-year fixed mortgage rate to average 2.5 percent this month," said NAR Director of Forecasting Nadia Evangelou.
Evangelou credited the addition of 6 million jobs over the past year as a significant factor towards the increase in the mortgage rate.
The NAR forecast that rates could reach as high as 3.7% by the end of 2022.
The higher rate may deter some prospective buyers, but the demand for housing will remain "robust," the group predicted.
Freddie Mac also attributed the rise to higher inflation, with only a modest impact on demand due to first-time homebuyer growth.