MARKET SNAPSHOT: Dow Set To Kick Off 2018 Slightly Higher As Dollar Slips
Dollar falls to September lows
U.S. stock-index futures pointed to a slightly higher open on Tuesday, suggesting Wall Street would kick off the first trading day of the new year with a positive note despite ongoing geopolitical concerns over Iran and North Korea.
What are stock futures doing?
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 112 points, or 0.5%, to 24,847, while those for the S&P 500 index gained 9.50 points, or 0.4%, to 2,685. Futures for the Nasdaq-100 index added 10 points, or 0.4%, to 6,435.25.
The small moves come after all three benchmarks declined on Friday in 2017's last trading session (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-sp-set-to-power-to-fresh-record-on-2017s-last-trading-day-2017-12-29). The indexes, however, still scored stellar gains for the year, with the S&P 500 ending 2017 19.4% higher, the Dow average rising 25.1% and the Nasdaq Composite Index climbing 28.2%. All three posted their best year since 2013.
Read:These are all the records stock indexes hit with 2017 trading at a close (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-are-all-the-records-stock-indexes-are-poised-to-hit-as-december-comes-to-a-close-2017-12-29)
Don't miss:The Dow is coming off an annual gain of 25% -- here's what typically happens next (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dow-is-coming-off-an-annual-gain-of-25-heres-what-typically-happens-next-2018-01-02)
What's driving the market?
A sinking dollar has grabbed the limelight to start 2018, kicking off the new year the same way it ended, slumping.
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index fell for a fifth straight session, down 0.3% at 91.886 to trade around its lowest level since September. The weakness came as investors expressed doubts that major U.S. tax reforms written into law late December would have on economic growth, interest rates and inflation.
Outside the U.S., Iran was in focus after nine people were reported dead after overnight clashes between protesters and security forces. The protests started last week over rising inflation and corruption, but focus has since shifted to a wider discontent (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/iran-protests-have-left-at-least-four-dead-and-hundreds-arrested-2018-01-01) with Iran's ruling system and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The wave of unrest is now seen as the largest since a disputed 2009 presidential election.
In North Korea, leader Kim Jong Un said in a speech on Monday that Pyongyang had completed its nuclear weapons program (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/north-koreas-kim-jong-un-says-he-has-a-nuclear-launch-button-on-his-desk-2018-01-01), which could reach any point in the continental U.S. Kim, however, also suggested he is willing to engage in talks with South Korea, saying North Korea would be open to sending a delegation to the Winter Olympics in the South next month.
The government in Seoul welcomed Kim's suggestion on Tuesday. Its unification minister proposed holding high-level talks with North Korean officials (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/south-korea-offers-to-hold-high-level-talks-with-north-over-olympics-2018-01-02) on Jan. 9 to discuss the country's possible involvement in the Winter Games and Kim Jong Un's nuclear program.
What are strategists saying?
"There's an unusual combination of strength in economies around the world, a pretty strong backdrop for commodities and exports. There's so much going right, even before the jolt of pro-business tax reform, that we think equity markets will continue to be strong in major markets in 2018," said Humberto Garcia, head of asset allocation for Bank Leumi.
"We think a lot about what could trigger the next downturn, and political issues are something that come up. However, with all the economic strength we see, we think that even if you had a scare, markets would recover fairly quickly."
Optimism over U.S. markets have been rising despite valuations that are seen as stretched by many measures. The latest AAII investor sentiment survey indicates that 50.5% of polled investors are bullish on the market, meaning they expect prices will be higher in six months. That's the highest level in nearly two years, and significantly above the 38.5% historical average. The number of bullish investors has gone up by 5.5 percentage points in the last week alone, while the percentage of bearish investors has dropped to 25.6%, down 2.5 percentage points over the last week.
Read more: Stock optimism swells as S&P 500 hits most overbought level in 22 years (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-optimism-swells-as-sp-500-hits-most-overbought-level-in-22-years-2017-12-27)
Which stocks are in focus?
Shares of Abbott Laboratories(ABT) rose 2.9% ahead of the bell after J.P. Morgan lifted the health care company to overweight from neutral.
Netflix Inc.(NFLX) put on 1.8% after Macquarie lifted the online-streaming company to outperform, according to Dow Jones Newswires.
Incyte Corp. (INCY) climbed 1.1% before the open after RBC Capital Markets raised its rating on the biotech company to outperform from sector perform.
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp.(COG) fell 1.8% premarket after Raymond James cut the energy company to underperform from outperform.
What economic updates are ahead?
On a light economic calendar, the U.S. manufacturing purchasing manager's index for December is the only major report scheduled for release. The data are due to come out at 9:45 a.m. Eastern Time.
See:MarketWatch's economic calendar (http://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendars/economic)
There are no Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak publicly.
What are other markets doing?
Stock markets in Asia closed mainly higher, while European equity markets (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/miners-car-makers-drag-european-stocks-lower-on-2018s-first-trading-day-2018-01-02) kicked off the new year on the back foot.
Oil prices declined, with West Texas Intermediate crude falling from its highest level since June 2015 that was reached on Friday.
Metals were mixed. Gold prices (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-trades-at-3-month-high-north-of-key-1300-line-2018-01-02) rose 0.3%, while copper fell 0.4%.
Bitcoin futures (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bitcoin-under-pressure-to-start-2018-as-ether-tokens-take-flight-2018-01-02) lost 4.8% to $13,780.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 02, 2018 08:56 ET (13:56 GMT)