U.S. Treasury yields mostly held their ground, inching up only slightly, early Tuesday as investors in government bonds awaited the start of the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, which may offer Wall Street further clues about monetary policy, even if a rate increase isn't expected this time.
Where are Treasury yields?
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The 10-year Treasury yield was at 2.379%, up 0.5 basis point, compared with 2.374% late Monday in New York, the 2-year yield , the most sensitive to shifts in interest rate expectations, added 0.8 basis to 1.588%. The 30-year bond yield , ticked 0.3 basis point up at 2.886%.
Bond prices mover inversely to yields.
What's driving the market?
The Fed gathering, which isn't expected to see any changes to monetary policy, begins later Tuesday. Bond investors will watch for policy makers' views on the health of the U.S. and global economy and expectations for wage growth and prices, which have risen tepidly, bedeviling economists. Slack in price growth and wages, running below the Fed's 2% annual target for inflation, despite healthy growth in jobs, has helped to support buying in bonds because rising inflation chips away at a bond's fixed value.
President Donald Trump is set to reveal his choice for the next head of the Fed on Thursday, a White House official said (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-to-announce-his-pick-for-fed-chair-on-thursday-2017-10-30)., and a number of reports indicate that Fed Gov. Jerome Powell, who is viewed as likely to be less aggressive in raising interest rates than some rival candidates, is likely to be named successor to Chairwoman Janet Yellen.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan left its monetary policy unchanged (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-japan-leaves-monetary-policy-unchanged-2017-10-30) but communicated concerns about sluggish inflation and said it expects to maintain its accommodative policy stance. The BOJ's position contrasts with moves by the Fed, the European Central Bank and other major central banks, which are gradually moving away from or slowly winding down easing measures
What data are in focus?
What are strategists saying?
"Looking outside of equities, Treasury yields certainly have started to move in an opposite direction over the last few days than many expect. While the market is certainly prepared for the next rate hike, yields have pulled back to breach the 2.40% area of support that was just exceeded last week in what many thought was a minor breakout," said Mark Newton, technical market analyst and founder of Newton Advisors in a Tuesday research note. He said that if the 10-year benchmark note yield falls below 2.36%, it "would sever the uptrend in yields and likely cause a big rollover" in the shares of banks and other financial companies that tend to benefit from a raising rate environment.
What are other assets doing?
The yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond was at 0.064%, compared with 0.059% in the previous session. In Europe, the 10-year German bond , known as the bund, was at 0.382%, little changed from 0.385% on Monday. The yields on the 10-year Spanish bond was at 1.482%, versus 1.586% in the prior session. European yields have been reacting to a fight by Catalonia for its independence from Spain, which has implications for the integrity of the European Union and the euro .
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 31, 2017 08:00 ET (12:00 GMT)