Why Himax Technologies, Inc. Stock Fell 19.1% in September

By Markets Fool.com


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What happened

Shares of HIMAX TECHNOLOGIES(NASDAQ: HIMX) fell 19.1% in September,according to data provided byS&P Global Market Intelligence, primarily due to a negative analyst note toward the end of the month.

So what

Specifically, Himax plunged nearly 20% on Sept. 26, 2016, after Nomura analyst Donnie Teng reduced his rating on Himax to "neutral" from "buy." Teng also reduced his price target on Himax shares to $10.20 from $12, citing channel checks that indicated weak shipments for a major augmented reality device -- an obvious reference to Microsoft's HoloLens headset, for which Himax is a key component supplier. Teng further suggested HoloLens may not see shipments ramp until the second half of next year.

As I pointed out at the time of the downgrade, Teng's downgrade came less than three months after he upgraded Himax stock based on HoloLens' potential to "bring a meaningful contribution to Himax" -- though he also admitted the augmented reality industry could have a "bumpy" start with low volume shipments in its early stages.

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Now what

Though it might be tempting to dismiss Teng's opinion considering the short amount of time between his disparate calls, he's not alone in this mindset.

Incidentally, as of this writing Himax stock is down 3.7% in Tuesday's trading as Northland Capital Markets analyst Tom Sepenzis maintained his "outperform" rating and $12-per-share price target, but -- you guessed it -- warned of an impending drop in revenue from HoloLens as Microsoft refines the device. As such, Sepenzis similarly predicted Himax has "little chance of a positive catalyst until the second half of [calendar year 2017]."

The market hates being told to "hurry up and wait" before it can realize the fruits of these exciting early stage industries. So whileHimax's long-term story appears to remain intact, it's no surprise to see short-term oriented investors taking yet another step back from the stock on Tuesday.

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Steve Symington has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.