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At the same time, I have sold down my large cap tech holdings in late 2014. These factors and our positions in silver and gold mining stocks have allowed the portfolio to outperform the S&P 500 Index in January.
Apparently, precious metals are turning out to be the place to be in 2015.
Power of gold
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Newmont Mining (NEM) is actually one of the top 10 performing stocks in the S&P 500.
In my opinion, gold and silver investments are going up because they are a bet against central banks.
Global central banks are worried about deflation, so they are printing money and debasing their currencies. This is good for precious metals prices.
Oddly enough, the inflation that these policies in my opinion will eventually cause is also good for precious metals prices. So gold and silver are reacting and the mining stocks are a leveraged bet on that trend.
In my opinion, I think that gold prices could head toward $1600 an ounce this year – not a super aggressive forecast, as the all time high is over $1900.
If so, this trend could cause a much greater move in mining stocks, which are severely depressed.
I don’t have a crystal ball, but according to my research Newmont Mining’s stock could hit $40 a share if gold reaches $1,600 per ounce. That would be a 60% move up from current levels.
Going forward, the oil situation is a huge opportunity as well in my opinion.
Right now, the investment community is working under the assumption that oil prices will stay depressed forever, but I do not believe this for one second.
Since Saudi Arabia started a price war by not reducing production, the move has cost every significant oil producer, from North American shale producers to Russia.
At some point, in my opinion, the Saudis are going to wake up and realize that they actually like making money.
When that happens, I believe that T. Boone Pickens will be right and oil will return to $80-$100 per barrel range.
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DISCLAIMER: The investments discussed are held in client accounts as of January 31, 2014. These investments may or may not be currently held in client accounts. The reader should not assume that any investments identified were or will be profitable or that any investment recommendations or investment decisions we make in the future will be profitable. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The post Why I’m bullish on metals and energy stocks appeared first on Smarter InvestingCovestor Ltd. is a registered investment advisor. Covestor licenses investment strategies from its Model Managers to establish investment models. The commentary here is provided as general and impersonal information and should not be construed as recommendations or advice. Information from Model Managers and third-party sources deemed to be reliable but not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Transaction histories for Covestor models available upon request. Additional important disclosures available at http://site.covestor.com/help/disclosures.