Oil Falls on Demand Concerns

By Stephanie Yang Features Dow Jones Newswires

Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, weighed down by concerns over demand and a strengthening U.S. dollar.

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Light, sweet crude for September delivery settled down 4 cents, or 0.1%, at $47.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, paring losses after trading as low as $47.02. Brent, the global benchmark, rose 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $50.80 a barrel.

Prices fell for the second day in a row after Chinese refiners cut back on crude processed and a strong dollar weighed on commodities prices. The WSJ Dollar Index was recently up 0.5%, trading at the highest level in nearly three weeks.

The summer rally that took prices up to $50 a barrel has lost steam, even as the amount of oil in U.S. storage has continued to decline.

In part, prices have stalled because investors are worried about whether there will be enough demand to soak up excess oil, especially as U.S. shale producers have increased activity and members of the global oil cartel show signs of slipping compliance with production cuts agreed on last year.

Recently, Chinese data showed a drop in July consumption as refiners processed less crude into products.

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"We're still seeing a decent reaction to the data out of China," said John Kilduff, founding partner at Again Capital. "That was a big blow to the demand argument."

A surprise build in gasoline stockpiles in the week ended Aug. 4 has also put pressure on the market. As the summer driving season comes to a close, some investors are worried that dwindling demand for products will hurt the crude market.

Traders will be watching for data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, due Wednesday, on the amount of crude and products in storage. Analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect crude inventories to decline by 3 million barrels, on average, in the week ended Aug. 11. Gasoline stockpiles are expected to decrease by 1 million barrels on average.

"We're about to head into a period where some of these strong global crude runs are going to diminish. Perhaps the market is beginning to take that into account," said Andy Lebow, senior partner at Commodity Research Group.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, along with other major oil-producing nations, agreed to limit output late last year in an attempt to cut down on oversupply. But July data showing a rise in OPEC production has helped undermine faith in the cartel's ability to rebalance the global oil market.

Traders are also waiting to see whether Saudi Arabia's plans to cut exports will help ease the global supply glut.

"That's going to be a key to whether this market will hold up or not," Mr. Kilduff said. For now, "tanker data doesn't look like they're doing that."

Gasoline futures rose 0.2% to $1.5795 a gallon, and diesel futures fell 0.4% to $1.5996 a gallon.

Write to Stephanie Yang at stephanie.yang@wsj.com

Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, weighed down by concerns over demand and a strengthening U.S. dollar.

Light, sweet crude for September delivery settled down 4 cents, or 0.1%, at $47.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, paring losses after trading as low as $47.02. Brent, the global benchmark, rose 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $50.80 a barrel.

Prices fell for the second day in a row after Chinese refiners cut back on crude processed and a strong dollar weighed on commodities prices. The WSJ Dollar Index was recently up 0.5%, trading at the highest level in nearly three weeks.

The summer rally that took prices up to $50 a barrel has lost steam, even as the amount of oil in U.S. storage has continued to decline.

In part, prices have stalled because investors are worried about whether there will be enough demand to soak up excess oil, especially as U.S. shale producers have increased activity and members of the global oil cartel show signs of slipping compliance with production cuts agreed on last year.

Recently, Chinese data showed a drop in July consumption as refiners processed less crude into products.

"We're still seeing a decent reaction to the data out of China," said John Kilduff, founding partner at Again Capital. "That was a big blow to the demand argument."

A surprise build in gasoline stockpiles in the week ended Aug. 4 has also put pressure on the market. As the summer driving season comes to a close, some investors are worried that dwindling demand for products will hurt the crude market.

Traders will be watching for data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, due Wednesday, on the amount of crude and products in storage. Analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect crude inventories to decline by 3 million barrels, on average, in the week ended Aug. 11. Gasoline stockpiles are expected to decrease by 1 million barrels on average.

"We're about to head into a period where some of these strong global crude runs are going to diminish. Perhaps the market is beginning to take that into account," said Andy Lebow, senior partner at Commodity Research Group.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the week showed a 9.2-million-barrel decrease in crude supplies, a 301,000-barrel rise in gasoline stocks and a 2.1-million-barrel decrease in distillate inventories, according to a market participant.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, along with other major oil-producing nations, agreed to limit output late last year in an attempt to cut down on oversupply. But July data showing a rise in OPEC production has helped undermine faith in the cartel's ability to rebalance the global oil market.

Traders are also waiting to see whether Saudi Arabia's plans to cut exports will help ease the global supply glut.

"That's going to be a key to whether this market will hold up or not," Mr. Kilduff said. For now, "tanker data doesn't look like they're doing that."

Gasoline futures rose 0.2% to $1.5795 a gallon, and diesel futures fell 0.4% to $1.5996 a gallon.

Write to Stephanie Yang at stephanie.yang@wsj.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

August 15, 2017 17:07 ET (21:07 GMT)