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Nouriel Roubini

Five thoughts on the outlook for ETFs

In December, the U.S. government reported a very underwhelming gain in those on the non-farm payrolls of 74,000 , while the unemployment rate decreased to 6.7% .  Not a very likely scenario, so it was quickly dismissed as an oddball event, given the labor participation rate had fallen 0.2 % to 62.8%, matching the low for the year.On reason was the traditional year-end revisions and seasonal adjustments. More than a few wondered if the U.S. Federal Reserve might just stop their newly adopted tapering policy . However, in my opinion, the Fed has a long history of not backing down once a new policy has been set in motion.Despite the commotion in the emerging markets, the Fed once again reduced its bond purchases going forward by another $10 billion , to $65 billion per month. The Fed's quantitative easing (QE III) program will likely come to an end in 2014. Another month of disappointing employment data might complicate things and the severe weather in the U.S. is a wild card.At the Fed, ...

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