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Even if you don't think you do, you already know plenty about commodities. Want us to prove it? No problem.
What makes oil produced in Saudi Arabia different from oil exported from Nigeria? It's the same thing that makes the corn you ate at last summer¿s barbecue different from the corn used to produce ethanol. Stumped? Well, don't feel bad, it's a trick question. The answer? Absolutely nothing. Corn is corn no matter where it comes from -- just as wheat is wheat and natural gas is -- right! -- natural gas. (Though the quality may differ, the make-up is uniform.)
So, in less elaborate terms, corn and oil (and all other commodities) are homogenous goods that can be processed, resold and more often than not, used as an input to the production of other goods or services. These goods are traded on a commodity exchange, thus setting the price-per-barrel (or other metric unit) used to value them.
Now pay attention, here's a question that indeed does have an answer: What is the difference between a commodity and a stock? While a stock can tank and become worthless, a commodity cannot have its value be wiped to zero. One other difference: Most commodities are traded in futures, meaning traders buy and sell where they think the price of a product will be at a certain point in the future. Stocks trade based on the value of the underlying company at that point in time.
Home / Personal Finance / Financial Planning / Real Estate & Mortgage
Monday, April 14, 2008
Poll Shows Majority Worried About Housing Mess, Not Buying Homes
Associated Press
WASHINGTON--A growing majority say they won't buy a home anytime soon, the latest sign of increasing pessimism about the nation's housing
crisis, a poll showed Monday.
In a vivid sketch of how the sputtering real estate market is causing distress throughout
the country, the Associated Press-AOL Money & Finance poll found that more than a quarter of homeowners worry their home
will lose value over the next two years. Fully one in seven mortgage holders fear they won't be able to make their monthly
payments on time over the next six months.
"This is a great time to buy, but not necessarily to sell," said Robert
Jackson, who lives in a two-bedroom house in Ferguson, Mo., with his wife and four young children. He said he would love to
purchase a larger home, but can't because even if he found a buyer, he would probably lose thousands on his house, which he
bought less than two years ago.
"We're just going to have to slap a Band-Aid on it and stay here until the market gets
a little bit better," Jackson, 30, said in a follow-up interview.
Jackson is not alone. Sixty percent said they definitely
won't buy a home in the next two years, up from 53% who said so in an AP-AOL poll in September 2006. At the same time, just
11% are certain or very likely to buy soon, down from 15% two years ago.
The growing reluctance to dip into the housing
market seems to stem partly from worry that housing prices will continue falling good if you're buying a house but bad if
you have to sell one.
The number envisioning falling prices in their area has grown to one in four, while four in 10
think prices will rise, a decrease from two years ago. Expectations for rising prices are highest in the South, with Westerners
likeliest to predict they will drop.
Underscoring the public's unsettled feelings, the number saying local housing
prices are about right has fallen to 35%. Half say homes are overpriced--especially in the Northeast--while those saying housing
is underpriced have doubled to one in 10, particularly Midwesterners.
Some pockets buck regional trends. Laurie Jensen,
a single mother of three, struggles to make payments on her home in Whitehall, Mont., by working as a seasonal road construction
flagger and at times collecting unemployment. She said she'd like to move outside of town, but the area is popular and prices
have surged.
"Things are pretty crazy," she said. "Places I don't consider that great are really expensive."
One
in 10 have adjustable rate mortgages, half of the number who said so two years ago. These mortgages generally start at a low
interest rate and are later adjusted to market conditions--which has often meant steep, unaffordable boosts that have forced
many to refinance or even lose their homes.
Daniel Gallego, a warehouse worker in Stockton, Calif., said he may have
to sell his home at a big loss. He said rising gasoline and other costs have made his adjustable rate mortgage unaffordable.
Because he doesn't expect his home's value to recover soon, he said he may be better off moving now, before his rates rise.
"We
may have to move in with my wife's parents or my parents," said Gallego, 30, who has two young children. "I could pay off
some debt, then we could rent, and maybe buy another house in a few years."
The public anxiety is in reaction to an
economy that is veering toward recession and losing jobs even as the housing market sputters badly. Foreclosures have soared
to record highs, mortgage rates have increased, sales of existing and new homes have fallen and home values have dropped.
Gus
Faucher, director of macroeconomics for Moody's Economy.com, a consulting firm, estimated that 9 million homeowners owe more
on their home than it's worth. He said his company believes home sales are at or near bottom and home values will continue
to fall until early next year.
Even so, he said, many people bought their homes before the run-up in values that started
around 2001 and remain in good shape.
"So the value of your house goes down temporarily," he said. Unless the homeowner
must sell now or can't afford the payments, "that doesn't have that much of an impact."
The poll also found:
- The biggest worriers are those expecting to buy soon. Of that group 43% frets that their home's value will drop in the next two years, compared with 25% of those not expecting to buy shortly.
- Fifty-nine percent think now is a good time to buy.
- Half
think this is a very tough time for first-time buyers, an increase from two years ago. Nearly two-thirds think it's harder
for first-home buyers than it was five years ago.
Included were interviews with 769 homeowners, for whom the sampling margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 points. The margin of sampling error for other subgroups was larger.
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