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We like to think that when we deposit a dollar at the bank, it goes into a big vault and we can pull out that same dollar at any time. But that¿s not how the U.S. banking system works. Banks take that money and invest it to make money themselves, so cash gets spread around. This, naturally, leads to a big risk: What happens if those investments go sour? Well, you¿d be out of luck. You can¿t get your dollar back.
The Federal Reserve doesn¿t like that scenario, so it prohibits banks from putting all the cash it has on deposit on the line. In fact, the Fed forces banks to keep a portion of their assets at the Federal Reserve itself, to make sure that some of your assets won¿t get squandered if the bank¿s bets go south. These are called ¿reserves,¿ (hence, Federal Reserve. Got it? Good), and usually amount to 10% of the total cash kept in checking accounts.
These reserves are never exactly 10%, and banks like to keep a little extra in reserve ¿ not, as you might think, to make you more comfortable that they¿re in good financial shape, but rather so they can take that excess and lend it to other banks and make money off it. (They¿re banks, they can¿t help themselves.) The rate at which they make these loans is called the Federal Funds rate, which is set by the Federal Reserve¿s Federal Open Market Committee.
When you hear people chattering about how the Fed cut or hiked interest rates, this is what they¿re talking about: the interest rate banks can charge for lending money from their reserves. This begs the question: If these are essentially loans between banks, why is the Fed Funds rate so important for the rest of the economy?
Well, simply put, because loans make the financial world go round. Bank A lends Bank B $10,000 at a Fed Funds rate of 5%. Bank B then lends out $10,000 to a small business at 7%. The small business then takes that money and expands the business and hires new workers. Now someone is employed, Bank B has made interest off the loan, and Bank A is the richer for making it all happen. It¿s perhaps overly simplistic, but you get the idea. When you want the economy to thrive, you make lending cheaper.
Of course, sometimes you don¿t want the economy to thrive. In fact, you might want it to cool down, mostly to avoid money flooding the system and causing inflation. In that case, the Fed raises interest rates, making it difficult to lend or borrow.
Home / Markets / Industries / Telecom
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Buy Order
Buy Order: One Fund Talks Up Vodafone
Kathryn Vasel
FOXBusiness
NEW YORK--Thanks to emerging market exposure, growing subscribers and mounting cash flow, one fund manager thinks you’ll be dialing
into profits when investing in Vodafone (VOD).
Kirk Brown, managing director for American Beacon International Equity
Funds at American Beacon Advisors, Inc., is a big fan of Vodafone, making it No. 3 on the fund's list of holdings.
“We very much like this stock," Brown said. "It has had a good run up almost 50% return year-to-date. It is a slow
grower and is very stable."
In the late 1990s, Vodafone and other overseas telecom companies were overvalued, according
to Brown. But the group took a hit in the early 2000s after taking on a lot of debt to build new towers and systems. Unlike
some of its peers, Vodafone was able to push through the rough patches, said Brown. “The silver lining here is all the excess
within Vodafone has been wrung out and now we have a stock that is not as cyclical as other stocks,” he said.
According
to Brown, Vodafone is now more efficient from a balance-sheet perspective.
“The company has a defensive nature,"
Brown said. "People feel they need to have a cell phone, and, in a period of economic problems, this company will still do
well because it doesn’t need strong economic growth to spur sales.”
What's more, Brown said Vodafone has more ability
to expand outside of its core market.
“It used to be that 14% of their cash flow was tied up in capital expenditures,
but now it’s only between 8% and 10% goes that way, clearing up more money to be invested in emerging markets,” he said.
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Vodafone recently entered India’s mobile phone market. As of September, Vodafone had more than 241 million subscribers worldwide. On top of that the company also has a 45% stake in Verizon, which has seen a 16% revenue growth in the last year, which is benefiting Vodafone shareholders.
Currently, the average European uses an average of 150 wireless minutes a month, lagging behind the American cell phone talker, who logs an average of 700 minutes a month, according to Brown. But Brown said they’re expecting the amount of time Europeans spend chatting on cell phones to increase and eventually catch up with Americans’ minute use.
Regulators have decreased the charge associated with calling from a landline to a cell phone as well as roaming fees, which should boost the amount of subscribers and the amount of time they spend chatting wirelessly, which will encourage more mobile phone use, Brown said.
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