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Employment Situation

The granddaddy of monthly economic reports is the federal reading on the employment situation. To call this a single report is deceptive. It actually has a bunch of moving parts that, on their own or as a group, can move stock and bond markets.

It's easy to think of the report in four parts. The first is non-farm payrolls, which tracks the month-over-month change in the number of jobs in the U.S. that don't involve milking cows or picking lettuce. Then comes the unemployment rate, which is the percentage of unemployed people as it relates to the total workforce.

The third component is the average hourly earnings change, which tracks how much more or less money U.S. workers are making. Finally, there's the average work week, which counts the number of hours non-farmers work.

Like most data reports, the unemployment one has its flaws. For one thing, it tracks non-farm payrolls, which means that a lot of folks who work off the land -- or, more to the point, are not currently working off the land -- are excluded. Also, if you¿re a consultant or small-business owner (a big part of the current economy), you¿re not counted. On the flip side, you can be double-counted if you hold down two jobs. That's one of the reasons why it's common to see non-farm payrolls drop (suggesting higher unemployment) but the unemployment rate shrinking (suggesting higher employment).

The impact of the Employment Situation report often depends on the mood of the markets. Take the wage component. If stock and bond traders are worried about inflation, an unexpected rise in hourly earnings suggests wage inflation and, ergo, can scare people. But, that same spike could be welcome if traders are more worried about a slowdown in consumer spending. Higher earnings mean more spending power.

Look for the employment report on the first Friday of every month at 8:30 a.m. EST.

Home / Markets / Industries / Retail

Ralcorp Profit Surges On One-time Gain

 
Jim Jelter
MarketWatch Pulse
 

SAN FRANCISCO -- Ralcorp Holdings Inc. reported late Thursday fiscal second-quarter net earnings of $38.5 million, or $1.46 a share, up from $500,000, or 2 cents, a year ago. The results got a boost from Ralcorp's non-cash gain on forward sale contracts stemming from its 19% stake in Vail Resorts, Inc. Excluding one-time items, earnings from ongoing operations were 86 cents a share in the latest quarter compared with 83 cents a year ago. Revenue for the first three months of the year rose 24% to $641.6 million from $519 million. Analysts polled by FactSet had predicted the St. Louis, Mo.-based cereal and snack company would earn 88 cents a share from ongoing operations on $604 million in revenue. Ralcorp shares rose 2.3% ahead of the report to close at $62.04.

Copyright © 2008 MarketWatch, Inc.

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