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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Analyst Sees More Downside In Builder Stocks
By John Spence
MarketWatch Pulse
BOSTON -- Fox-Pitt Kelton analyst Robert Stevenson on Wednesday said he expects home-builder stocks to continue to lag the S&P 500 Index on lingering weakness in the housing market. "Based on our expectations that fourth-quarter housing data points will continue to be weak -- coupled with still-expensive home-builder stock valuations and the lack of significant positive catalysts -- we expect the home builders will continue to underperform the broader market in the near term," Stevenson wrote in a report to clients. He said the recent news on the $8,000 tax credit for new homebuyers, which seems likely to be renewed and possibly expanded, has already been priced into builder shares and is unlikely to provide a lift. "While we are more constructive on the home builders over a longer investment period (12-24 months), we believe the stocks have additional near-term downside and would avoid the names through year-end," the analyst wrote.
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