Existing users please login

 

Home / Markets / Economy

Up and Coming

Housing, GDP Data on Tap in Coming Week

 
Adam Samson
FOXBusiness
     
    Up and coming 276

    The storm of bearish economic data is expected to calm -- but not dissipate -- in the coming week, which will be light and short due to the Thanksgiving Day holiday on Thursday. 

    The ailing housing market will be first to enter the spotlight. This week, we saw housing starts and permits -- both indicators of new residential construction -- plummeting to record-breaking lows. Existing home sales for October, which are scheduled to be released Monday, are expected to weaken after jumping in September. 

    The Case-Shiller Home Price Index for the third quarter will also be released next week, and economists expect home prices to sink 16% as compared with the same quarter last year.

    Economic growth will also be the subject of attention early in the week. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index, which  gauges the overall economic and inflationary situation, is scheduled to be released Monday. Although data have shown the economy is contracting, lower consumer and producer prices might help to mitigate some of the downward pressure on this indicator. 

    The second revision of the national Gross Domestic Product will be released Tuesday. GDP is widely considered the most comprehensive indicator of economic growth.  The first release showed the economy contracting 0.3% in the third quarter, but economists expect it to be revised lower to a 0.7% contraction.

    The labor market has rapidly deteriorated according to data released in the last couple of weeks. Data from the Labor Department showed initial unemployment claims surging to a 16-year high of 542,000 for the week ended Nov. 14. It would take a major improvement in the weekly data release to push them back below the psychologically important 500,000 level. Although the weekly release tends to be subject to short-run volatility, economists say big upward movements in unemployment claims could suggest the number of payroll jobs might be quickly diminishing.

    As a result of these negative developments, consumers are expected to have lost confidence in November. The Consumer Confidence Index and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index are at fairly depressed levels, having plunged in October, and are expected to have edged higher in November. 

    Monday, November 24 FOX Business Shopping Cart (Oct)    
      September actual: $78.15 UP:$0.29 (M-M) $5.59 (Y-Y)
      No October consensus  
     
      Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct)  
      September actual: (2.6) / 3 Mo Moving Avg (1.8)  
      No October consensus  
     
      Existing Home Sales (Oct)  
      September actual: 5.18 million, UP 5.5%  
      October consensus: 5.05 million DOWN 2.5%  
     
    Tuesday, November 25 Gross Domestic Product (Preliminary) 3Q (Q-Q) annualized)
      Final 2Q: UP 2.8%  
      Advance 3Q: DOWN 0.3%  
      Preliminary 3Q consensus: DOWN 0.7%  
     
      Case Shiller Home Price 20-city Index (September)  
      August actual: 164.6 DOWN 16.6% (Y-Y)  
      September consensus: 163.0 DOWN 16.7% (Y-Y)  
     
      Case Shiller Home Price National Index (3Q)  
      2Q actual: 155.3 DOWN 15.4% Y-Y  
      3Q consensus: 151.5 DOWN 16.0% Y-Y  
     
      Consumer Confidence Index (Nov)  
      October actual: 38.0 DOWN 23.4  
      November consensus: 39.0 UP 1.0  
     
    Wednesday, November 26 MBA Application Index (Week ended: November 21)  
      Week Ended November 14: 398.6 DOWN 6.2%  
      Four-week moving average: 421.9 DOWN 3.1%  
      No November 21 consensus  
     
      Durable Goods Orders (Oct)  
      All items  
      September actual: UP 0.9%  
      October consensus: DOWN 2.5%  
      Ex-Transportation  
      September actual: DOWN 1.0%  
      October consensus: DOWN 1.3%  
     
      Personal Income (Oct)  
      September actual: UP 0.2%  
      October consensus: UP: 0.1%  
      Personal Consumption (Oct)  
      September actual: DOWN 0.3%  
      October consensus: DOWN 0.7%  
      Core PCE Index Change (Oct)  
      September actual: 2.4%  
      October consensus: 2.2%  
     
      Unemployment Claims  
      November 15 Actual: 542,000 UP 27,000  
      Four Week Moving Average: 506,500 UP 15,750  
         
      Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (Nov)  
      October actual: 37.8 DOWN 18.9  
      November consensus: 38.0  
     
      New Home Sales (Oct)  
      September actual: 464,000, UP 2.7%  
      October consensus: 450,000 DOWN 3.0%  
     
      University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment -Final (Nov) 
      October Final actual: 57.6 DOWN 12.7  
      November Preliminary actual:57.9 UP 0.3  
      November Final consensus: TK  
     
    Thursday, November 27 Gobble Gobble – No Data Releases  
     
    Friday, November 28 No Data Releases  
                   

     

     

    Fox Business Video