Why Fitbit, Inc. Stock Jumped 11% in November

Markets Motley Fool

What happened

Continue Reading Below

Shares of Fitbit, Inc. (NYSE: FIT) climbed 11.7% in November, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, after the company reported its third-quarter 2017 results at the beginning of the month. The quarter wasn't all that impressive, but some investors are starting to believe that the company's foray into smartwatches might help turn it around.

So what

Fitbit's top line fell by 22% year over year to $393 million, and the company's GAAP net income loss was $113.4 million, down significantly from a gain of $26.1 million in the year-ago quarter. The company also saw its total unit sales fall by 32% year over year, to 3.6 million.

But investors focused in on some of the more positive aspects of the quarter, including the fact that Fitbit nearly came close to turning a profit on an adjusted basis, if you exclude the $86 million tax-related charge the company encountered in the quarter. 

Additionally, Fitbit's CEO James Park was positive about his company's new Ionic smartwatch, which is a huge part of Fitbit's turnaround plan. He said on the analyst conference call that, "Reviews to date from both the experts and the press and consumers have been largely positive. Using average Amazon customer reviews and the U.S. as a proxy, the launch of Ionic marks the best reception of any Fitbit products within the first month of sales with a rating of 4.2 stars."

Continue Reading Below

Now what

Fitbit's management expects fourth-quarter revenue to come in at $585 million at the midpoint, which would be a nice increase over the $574 million in the year-ago quarter. The company also expects non-GAAP earnings per share between a loss of $0.03 and a profit of $0.01. Anything within that range would be a huge improvement over the $0.56 loss in the fourth quarter of 2016.

While investors started to get optimistic about Fitbit last month, I still have my doubts that the company can compete in the smartwatch space over the long term against Apple and fight off growing competition in the low-end fitness tracker market as well. The fourth quarter should help shed some light on this, but I think investors should remain cautious.

10 stocks we like better than Fitbit
When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Fitbit wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

Click here to learn about these picks!

*Stock Advisor returns as of December 4, 2017

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Amazon, Apple, and Fitbit. The Motley Fool has the following options: long January 2020 $150 calls on Apple and short January 2020 $155 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.