JJ Kinahan: Retail Is An 'Individual Stock Story' Not To Be Generalized

Markets Benzinga

If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)s body language means anything, in-store sales are cool again. The e-commerce trend-setter has taken powerful, assertive steps into brick and mortar after effectively convincing competitors to upend their business models and shift focus online.

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In doing so, it seems to be affirming the value of in-store shopping.

Now, as Macys Inc (M), J C Penney Company Inc (JCP) and Kohls Corporation (KSS) prepare to report quarterly results and expound on future strategies, they and industry peers can defend their mixed models with justified poise. And they should.

They have to report with more confidence how they're balancing the brick and mortar with the online, TD Ameritrade Chief Strategist JJ Kinahan told Benzinga. It's so interesting to me that Amazon ran towards brick and mortar while the rest of the world ran away from it.

Their game plans around in-store and e-commerce experiences are critical in offsetting any past performance flaws.

The revenue numbers are incredibly important, Kinahan said. If they miss on earnings because of expenses on real estate, that will be forgiven. What wont be forgiven is missing on revenue and not looking like you have a plan in the short term.

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Assessing Retail

As investors await the industrys Tuesday earnings reports, Kinahan warned against making generalizations.

More than most industries, because the business models are so under question, it's really an individual stock story, he said. The individual story underneath that top-line revenue is really going to be what separates them. If one company beats wildly on revenue, it could hurt the others. It could lead the market to ask, Is there a market share problem?

As far as individual performance goes, Kinahan sees promise in Macys, which is front and center in the online-versus-brick-and-mortar fight. Meanwhile, J C Penney has proven a tough story.

At the time of publication, SPDR S&P Retail (ETF) (XRT) was trading around $41.44.

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How Empathy Will Save Brick-And-Mortar Retail

Latest Ratings for XRT

Date Firm Action From To
Nov 2015 HSBC Upgrades Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for XRT View the Latest Analyst Ratings

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