Here's Why Ophthotech Corporation Is Dropping Today

By Markets

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What happened

Shares of Ophthotech (NASDAQ: OPHT), a clinical-stage biotech primarily focused on diseases of the eye, are down by 13% as of 12:00 p.m. EDT on Friday.

So what

The sell-off can be traced to less-than-stellar clinical data that was released on Friday by the biotech giantRegeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: REGN).

Regeneron reported results from its phase 2 CAPELLA study on Friday. This trial was designed to test the company's blockbuster eye disease drug Eylea in combination with rinucumab, an internally developed anti-platelet-derived growth factor receptor beta (anti-PDGFR-beta) antibody. Thegoal of the study was to judge how well the combination therapy worked compared to using Eylea by itself in patients who had neovascular age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD).

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Unfortunately, the 12-week trial showed that thecombination therapy actually performed worse than just using Eylea on its own. Patients in the combination group showed a 5.8 letter improvement as judged by the best corrected visual acuity test, while patients treated with Eylea as a monotherapy showed a 7.5 letter improvement.

If that weren't bad enough, the two groups of patients who received the combination therapy reported an increase in the rate of ocular adverse events. The reported rates were 23.5% and 20% in the combinationtherapy groups versus only 16% in the Eylea group.

While this study did not involve Ophthotech's lead compound Fovista -- itself an anti-platelet-derived growth factor (anti-PDGF) agent -- the markets now have a renewed worry that anti-PDGF treatments may not improve upon the current standard of care. Given that a lot of Ophthotech's $1.5 billion market valuation hinges on the future success of Fovista, investors are selling off shares on the news.

Now what

There's no doubt that this data raises new concerns about Fovista's potential clinical benefits. That puts an enormous amount of pressure on Ophthotech to deliver good news when it reports data from its phase 3 clinical trial evaluating Fovista in combination with Novartis' Lucentis in the fourth quarter. In phase 2b studies, the combination therapy showed a 62% improvement when compared to using Lucentis as a monotherapy, so if the longer-term phase 3 study produces results that are inconsistentwith those results, then look out below.

On the other hand, this news could also be interpreted as a net positive for Ophthotech. After all, rinucumabwas one of Fovista's potential competitors, so if it can succeed where rinucumabfailed -- which is a huge if -- then it will likely have the market all to itself for quite some time.

Personally, I was bullish on Ophthotech's prospects prior to today's announcement, and I remain hopeful that Fovista's upcoming data readout will prove the skeptics wrong. If that happens, then shares will likely skyrocket.

Still, that's one heck of a binary event coming up, and today'sannouncementdoes provide a data point that should have shareholders feelingconcerned. That makes Ophtotech a stock that only investors with anextremelyhigh tolerance for risk should consider buying based on today's dip.

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Brian Feroldi owns shares of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals.Like this article? Follow him onTwitter where he goes by the handle@Longtermmindsetor connect with him on LinkedIn to see more articles like this.

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