Disorderly Default for Greece?

Brian Gendreau, Cetera Financial Group market strategist, on why the markets today took a dive on news of a Greek referendum.

Wall Street Pummeled by European Setbacks, MF Global Jitters

By Markets FOXBusiness

FOX Business: The Power to Prosper

Continue Reading Below

Growing concerns that European leaders may struggle to contain the currency bloc's two-year-old debt crisis before it puts larger economies in peril and a slew of developments on now bankrupt derivatives brokerage MF Global ignited a dramatic selloff on Wall Street that left the blue chips close to 600 points to the downside over a two-day period. 

Today's Markets

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 297 points, or 2.5%, to 11,658, the S&P 500 dropped 35 points, or 2.8%, to 1,218 and the Nasdaq Composite fell 77.5 points, or 2.9%, to 2,607. 

Trading was ferocious on Tuesday, with the VIX, considered to be Wall Street's fear gauge, spiking as much as 25%. Down volume was substantial on the day as 95% of shares trading hands on the New York Stock Exchange were in declining shares. 

More On This...

The selling represents a stark comparison from the powerful rally Wall Street saw in October -- the best in nearly a decade for the Dow. 

Continue Reading Below

Market participants were closely watching a slew of developments on Europe's debt crisis and reports that MF Global may have improperly used customer funds that should have been separated from its proprietary trading operation. 

Yields on U.S. government bonds fell as traders raced into the perceived safe-haven assets.  The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yielded 1.982% from 2.11%. Financials took the strongest beating, but every major sector was deep in the red on Tuesday. 

MF Global Woes

Market participants were paying close attention to the unfolding MF Global (MF) situation. The once powerful derivatives player filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Monday after a soured bet on European sovereign debt sent investors and customers fleeing, according to several media reports. 

Regulators were ramping up a probe into the company's bookkeeping after millions of dollars reportedly went missing.  Market participants say it is possible that the company misused client cash as customers pulled their money and business partners demanded collateral to guarantee trades in its final month before it filed for bankruptcy.

Greece Move May Put EU Plan in Jeopardy

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou unexpectedly called for a referendum of the country's bailout package after the closing bell on Monday.  Citizens would reportedly be asked to either approve or deny the bailout from various international lenders, which the beleaguered nation needs to stave off a default that analysts say could pressure much bigger European economies, like Italy. 

The Greek public has vehemently, and sometimes violently, protested the austerity measures lenders have pushed for to cut the country's tremendous public debt load.  Indeed, a recent poll shows more than half of Greek voters are against the measures, according to The Wall Street Journal

"The latest developments increase the uncertainty around the euro area's response to the crisis," analysts at Nomura wrote in a note to clients. "If the referendum fails it might have wider repercussions, and not only in Greece given the general discontent at the peripheral austerity drive." 

European leaders, who are already facing strong political criticism for using public funds to support Greece, may be faced with a difficult decision if the referendum fails.  Analysts say they would have to either ease the bailout terms, or risk an almost certain default that would threaten the entire currency bloc, and potentially global economies.  

At the same time, if the terms of the bailout were lightened, it may signal to other countries seeking bailouts that such measures provide leverage in negotiations.

Still, European leaders remained optimistic following Greece's move: "We fully trust that Greece will honour the commitments undertaken in relation to the euro area and the international community," the European Council and European Commission said in a joint statement. German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy -- who represent Europe's biggest economies -- reiterated their support for the plan, and said they would speak with Greece prior to an upcoming summit in France later this week. 

European blue chips plunged 5% on the day. The euro was off 1.1% against the U.S. dollar, which represents a modest comeback from session lows. Euro zone banks, seen to have a particularly large exposure to sovereign debt, took a strong beating.

France's three biggest banks, Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole, and Germany's Deutsche Bank were all off more than 10%. Meanwhile U.S. investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS), which has been the subject of concern over its European debt holdings, fell 8%.

Global Manufacturing Data Miss Expectations

Also concerning to the markets are fresh data showing the pace of manufacturing expansion in the U.S. and  China -- two of the world's biggest economies -- unexpectedly slowed down to a crawl in October from September.  

The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing PMI gauge for the U.S. fell to 50.8 in October from 51.6 in September and missing expectations of 52. Readings above 50 point to expansion, while those below indicate contraction. 

Meanwhile, construction spending rose 0.2% in September from August, slower than the 0.3% pace economists' had anticipated. 

Energy and metals futures were mixed on the day, paring big losses.  The benchmark U.S crude oil contract sank $1.00, or 1.1%, to $92.19 a barrel.  Wholesale RBOB gasoline rose 2 cents, or 0.72%, to $2.62 a gallon. 

Gold slid $13.40, or 0.78%, to $1,712 a troy ounce.  

Corporate News

Bank of America (BAC) said it would pull the $5 monthly debit card fee it planned on charging customers. 

Yahoo! (YHOO) unveiled plans to buy interclick (ICLK) for $270 million, a 20% premium to the company's Monday closing price. 

Foreign Markets

European blue chips plunged 5% to 2,248, the English FTSE 100 slid 3.5% to 5,349 and the German DAX plummeted 5.8% to 5,785. 

In Asia, the Japanese Nikkei 225 slid 1.7% and the Chinese Hang Seng dipped 2.5% to 19,370. 

What do you think?

Click the button below to comment on this article.