Coming in to Week 11, the San Diego Chargers (4-5) were No.1 in passing yards with 2,944 and the Denver Broncos were No. 2 with 2,806. The two teams meet up in San Diego tonight in what is sure to be a dazzling air show with implications in the AFC West race.
The Broncos are in the AFC West basement but are coming off of a win against division leader Kansas City in which QB Kyle Orton threw for four touchdowns. RB Knowshon Moreno had his first 100 yard game against the Chiefs and will the Broncos will look for a similar performance in the run game to try and keep the ball out of Phillip River’s hands. If the Broncos can pull off a win, they will tie with San Diego and still have a shot at the division with six games remaining.
The Chargers, who have dominated the AFC West for the last four years, got off to a shaky and injury ridden start are now coming out of their bye week after a two game winning streak. WR Malcolm Floyd is listed as probable but TE Antonio Gates who has been side lined with a plantar fascia injury is still questionable. Rivers has been able to compensate with other receivers including undrafted rookie Seyi Ajirotutu who had 111 yards and two touch downs in a week 9 win over Houston.
FOX Business has evaluated the win/loss and stock market statistics over the past 20 seasons of Monday night NFL games and come up with a Monday Night Markets (MNM) rank for each team based on their record and the prior week’s market activity. Let’s take a look at what the markets have to say.
The major indexes saw minor gains last week with the Dow Industrials ending up 0.1%, having had gains two out of the past three weeks. The S&P 500 closed out the week up 0.04% with gains 10 out of the last 12 weeks. The markets were pressured during the play up to the Irish bank bailout and a slowing Chinese economy but got a late-week boost from the long awaited GM IPO. Commodity and energy stocks also saw gains on a weaker dollar and markets as a whole responded positively to a better than expected Mid-Atlantic region manufacturing activity report.
Over the past 20 years, the Broncos have played 38 Monday night games and based on our calculations have a Monday night rank of .429 when the Dow closes the prior week up and .450 when the S&P 500 is up giving them a MNM rank for this week of .440. During the same 20 year period, the Chargers have played 15 Monday night games and have a rank of .444 when the Dow is up and .500 when the S&P 500 is up giving them an MNM rank this week of .472.
Monday Night Markets picks the San Diego Chargers over the Denver Broncos in a close game at home.
2010 Monday Night Markets picks: 5-6.
WEEK 11 FBN Staff Picks:
Chargers are going to take this one!
Being a lifelong Bronco fan, I might come into this prediction a bit biased on most occasions. Actually, I might be too biased against the Broncos this week. They have no balance on offense and defensively they looked as lost as any NFL team I have seen in a while two weeks ago against the Raiders. The Chargers cannot afford to fall two games behind the Chiefs in the AFC west. They won't. An easy victory for Philip Rivers and company. Chargers roll.
Expect an aerial show tonight as San Diego’s Philip Rivers and Denver’s Kyle Orton, two of the NFL’s hottest quarterbacks, go downfield early and often. Look for the Chargers to mix in just enough of a running game and short passes to the backs to exploit Denver’s soft defense against the run. San Diego wins the shootout and continues its annual playoff push after yet another dismal start to the season.