In a game that could prove pivotal to the AFC South, the Houston Texans (4-2) take on the Indianapolis Colts (4-2) in Indy. The Texans opened the season with a win over the Colts breaking a 15-game losing streak against their division mates, but the Colts have not been swept by a division opponent since 2002. Both teams are coming off their bye week.

It’s no surprise that Peyton Manning sits atop the NFL with a passer rating of 103.4, but the usual cast of supporting characters has some significant injuries. Both WR Austin Collie and TE Dallas Clark are out. TE Jacob Tamme will have to step up and fill some of that gap. The Colt’s ground game is also depleted with Joseph Addai and Donald Brown hurt. RB Mike Hart stands to get most of the ground game snaps. The Colts could get WR Anthony Gonzalez back from an ankle injury but he has not seen action since week one and could be limited.

The Texans are going into their third Monday night game in history fairly healthy. QB Matt Shaub has been having a good year with a QB rating of 93. Look for the running game to get going early. RB Adrian Foster slashed the Colts in the season opener for 231 years. On defense, DE Mario Williams and 2009 defensive rookie of the year MLB Brian Cushing will look to contain Manning.

FOX Business has evaluated the win/loss and stock market statistics over the past 20 seasons of Monday night NFL games and come up with a Monday Night Markets (MNM) rank for each team based on their record and the prior week’s market activity. Let’s take a look at what the markets have to say.

The major indexes were mostly flat last week with the Dow Industrials ending down 0.13%, snapping a three-week winning streak while the S&P 500 closed out the week with a gain of 0.02%, extending its winning streak to four weeks. Quarterly earnings season was in full swing with 60% of the S&P 500 reporting so far, with three-quarters of the companies beating expectations. Earnings optimism was offset by an unexpected drop of 0.2% in the Case Shiller home price index and a rise of third-quarter GDP of 2.0%, seen as sluggish by some economists. Mixed consumer confidence data also contributed to the mostly flat markets.

Over the past 20 years, the Texans have played just two Monday night games. As they have never played a Monday game when the Dow was down the prior week, we will only look at the S&P 500 this week. They are one-for-one when the S&P is up giving them a Monday night rank of 1.0 this week.

During the same 20 year period, the Colts have played 18 Monday night games winning nine when the S&P 500 is up giving them a final MNM score of .692 this week.

Monday Night Markets picks the Houston Texans to win on the road and advance to 5-2.

2010 Monday Night Markets picks: 3-5.

 

Pressure is on the Colts! Texans will thrive in this rematch

Season: 4-1

 

 

 

Houston RB Arian Foster torched Indy in the season opener, but I don’t expect a repeat performance Monday night. Both teams are 4-2 but this is usually when the Colts begin to hit their stride. Even without Dallas Clark, Indy will move the ball methodically. The Texans come in losers of eight straight in Indy. Make it nine by the close of business Monday night.

Season: 5-3