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Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Goldman Expects $150-$200 Oil
FOXBusiness
Goldman Sachs said they expect a “super spike” in the price of oil over the next six to 24 months that could push oil to $150 or even $200 a barrel.
“We believe the current energy crisis may be coming to a head, as a lack of adequate supply growth is becoming apparent and resulting in needed demand rationing in the (developed nations) and in particular the United States," the bank said in a research note Monday, according to Dow Jones.
Goldman (GS) also said they are unsure how much longer the upside on the price of crude will remain.
The price of crude oil has gained more than 20% in the past five months on increased economic demand worldwide and possible market speculation.
FOX Translator
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Think telemarketer. Except, it's much worse because you can't avoid this call. Instead, when you get one, it's time to pay up, because the bet you placed with borrowed money is eating itself.
Buying stocks on margin is risky because you're essentially "playing" with someone else's money. If the shares you purchased tank, your losses will likely be more than if you had bought the shares with your own cash. This is why the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq impose certain restrictions on the practice.
Initially, you¿re only allowed to borrow half of the money from your broker when buying on margin. You set up a margin account and from then on must keep a maintenance balance of at least 25% of the market value of your stocks.
If the market value of your investment falls below this minimum, you're required to make up the difference by either depositing money into your account or selling some of the stock. If your broker notifies you that you've dipped below this minimum, it's called a margin call.
If you fail to adjust your account accordingly, the broker is authorized to sell shares in your account to make up the difference. The broker can even sell other stock in your margin account to make up for the loss that selling the shares didn't cover.
As an example, say you buy $8,000 in stocks of any given company. You borrow the maximum $4,000 from your broker and pay the rest yourself. Now, if and when the total value of these shares changes, you must make sure you maintain at least $2,000 (25%) in equity. In other words, if the total value were to drop below $6,000, you¿d be in trouble since you only put in $4,000 of your own money to begin with.






